3
PickNBA
RJ Barrett 20 piece
With Murray-Boyles out, RJ is hitting this number. When he logs his usual 27-37 mins without Murray-Boyles against weak spot-up and transition defenses, heβs 7/7 and averaging 24+ pts. NOP is a great matchup for his exact play style. RJ generates nearly half his offense from transition (25%) and spot-ups (20%). The Pels are getting cooked in both areas, ranking 27th vs transition and 25th vs spot-ups. He also takes 60% of his shots < 10ft, which lines up perfectly with NOP ranking 24th in paint pts allowed. Overall, they rank 25th vs his position and 26th in defensive rating. With his main play types funneling straight into their biggest defensive leaks, I see him getting 20 tonight.
Pick
RJ Barrett Over 19.5 pts
Odds
-120
Units
1.2u
β LOSS
